Impact of The Economic Reform Policy and COVID 19 on The Seasonality of The Most Important Egyptian Agricultural Exports and Imports
Gad, M., Abd Elkader Attala, M., Fakhry Yousif, E. (2022). Impact of The Economic Reform Policy and COVID 19 on The Seasonality of The Most Important Egyptian Agricultural Exports and Imports. EKB Journal Management System, 43(4), 1389-1410. doi: 10.21608/asejaiqjsae.2022.271548
Mona Hosny Gad; Mohamed Abd Elkader Attala; Eman Fakhry Yousif. "Impact of The Economic Reform Policy and COVID 19 on The Seasonality of The Most Important Egyptian Agricultural Exports and Imports". EKB Journal Management System, 43, 4, 2022, 1389-1410. doi: 10.21608/asejaiqjsae.2022.271548
Gad, M., Abd Elkader Attala, M., Fakhry Yousif, E. (2022). 'Impact of The Economic Reform Policy and COVID 19 on The Seasonality of The Most Important Egyptian Agricultural Exports and Imports', EKB Journal Management System, 43(4), pp. 1389-1410. doi: 10.21608/asejaiqjsae.2022.271548
Gad, M., Abd Elkader Attala, M., Fakhry Yousif, E. Impact of The Economic Reform Policy and COVID 19 on The Seasonality of The Most Important Egyptian Agricultural Exports and Imports. EKB Journal Management System, 2022; 43(4): 1389-1410. doi: 10.21608/asejaiqjsae.2022.271548

Impact of The Economic Reform Policy and COVID 19 on The Seasonality of The Most Important Egyptian Agricultural Exports and Imports

Alexandria Science Exchange Journal
Article 23, Volume 43, Issue 4, December 2022, Page 1389-1410  XML PDF (1.29 MB)
Document Type: Original Article
DOI: 10.21608/asejaiqjsae.2022.271548
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Authors
Mona Hosny Gad email orcid 1; Mohamed Abd Elkader Attala* 2; Eman Fakhry Yousif* 3
1Agricultural Economics Research Institute - Agricultural Research Center - Giza - Egypt
2Senior Researcher - Department of Agricultural Policy and Project Evaluation Researches - Agricultural Economics Research Institute - Agricultural Research Center.
3Assistant Professor of Agricultural Economics - Department of Agricultural Economics - Faculty of Agriculture - Ain Shams University
Abstract
The research mainly aimed to study the impact of the economic reform policy and the Corona pandemic and seasonal factors on the prices of the most important Egyptian agricultural exports and imports. The most important results were the following:
-    By studying the trend analysis of the monthly average of the prices of the most important exported and imported commodities, it shows the real price increase over time per month for the exports of 17 commodities represented as “olive oil, dried fruits, Rumi cheese, aromatic oils and resins, dried onions, processed cheese, dried vegetables, white cheese, juices.” Its foundations are oily seeds and fruits, onions and garlic, citrus fruits, preserved strawberries, frozen artichokes, processed potatoes, frozen vegetables, and potatoes.
-    Also found was that the economic reform policy had a statistically significant effect on the average real price of the exports of the 17 commodities under study, as well as the imports of meat, oils, sugar, beans, and wheat, in addition to the imports of the most important production requirements studied, such as seeds, pesticides, disinfectants, and fertilizers. that during the study period.
-    By studying the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on the real monthly prices of exports and imports of the commodities under study, it was found that the average monthly price decreased in real prices for all commodities under study, except for oils and aromatic resins, but the statistical significance of the rates of decrease during the study period did not prove.
 
Keywords
Price Fluctuations; Seasonal Multiplicative Models; Corona Pandemic
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