Cohort Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (CARIMA) Model As Applied To Egypt Cohort Fertility Rates | ||||
| The Egyptian Statistical Journal | ||||
| Article 9, Volume 45, Issue 2, December 2001, Page 232-253 PDF (12.99 MB) | ||||
| Document Type: Original Article | ||||
| DOI: 10.21608/esju.2001.313817 | ||||
 View on SCiNiTO | ||||
| Authors | ||||
| Mervat El-Mahalawy* ; Hanan Khodary* | ||||
| Faculty of Commerce, Mansoura University | ||||
| Abstract | ||||
| Age and Cohort are two kinds of effects in many forms of population behavior, hence data on recent cohorts are always incomplete. A univariate time series ARIMA model is performed well in projecting age or duration specific data of recent cohorts (Barbara et al., 1996). The model is also capable of taking period effects into account (Box et al., 1994). So in this paper the model is applied to Egypt marital fertility rates for the marriage cohorts 1962-1990. | ||||
| Keywords | ||||
| Fertility; Cohort - Demographic Projection - Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Models Prediction - Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average for Cohort Data (CARIMA) - Period Effects | ||||
|
Statistics Article View: 97 PDF Download: 126 |
||||
