The Application of Neural Networks to Forecast Fuzzy Time Series
El sayed Abd El Ghany Mubarak, A. (2015). The Application of Neural Networks to Forecast Fuzzy Time Series. EKB Journal Management System, 59(1), 57-67. doi: 10.21608/esju.2015.314456
Amaal El sayed Abd El Ghany Mubarak. "The Application of Neural Networks to Forecast Fuzzy Time Series". EKB Journal Management System, 59, 1, 2015, 57-67. doi: 10.21608/esju.2015.314456
El sayed Abd El Ghany Mubarak, A. (2015). 'The Application of Neural Networks to Forecast Fuzzy Time Series', EKB Journal Management System, 59(1), pp. 57-67. doi: 10.21608/esju.2015.314456
El sayed Abd El Ghany Mubarak, A. The Application of Neural Networks to Forecast Fuzzy Time Series. EKB Journal Management System, 2015; 59(1): 57-67. doi: 10.21608/esju.2015.314456

The Application of Neural Networks to Forecast Fuzzy Time Series

The Egyptian Statistical Journal
Article 5, Volume 59, Issue 1, June 2015, Page 57-67  XML PDF (14.35 MB)
Document Type: Original Article
DOI: 10.21608/esju.2015.314456
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Author
Amaal El sayed Abd El Ghany Mubarak
Damietta university, Egypt
Abstract
This study applies a back-propagation neural network to forecast fuzzy time series. Three models are proposed; a conventional fuzzy time series model and two hybrid models. Hybrid1 model uses a neural network approach to establish fuzzy relationships in fuzzy time series and hybrid2 model uses a neural network approach to improve forecasts from the conventional fuzzy time series model. The daily prices of golden pound for October 2014 were chosen as the forecasting target. The empirical results show that the hybrid2 model outperforms both the conventional fuzzy time series and the hybrid1 models.
 
Keywords
Back-Propagation; Forecasting - Golden Pound - Fuzzy Time Series
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