Economic Analysis of The Problems Facing Potato Farmers and Their Impact on The Net Revenue of Feddan in Beheira Governorate "التحليل الإقتصادى للمشاكل التى تواجه مُزارعى البطاطس وتأثيرها على صافى إيرادات الفدان فى محافظة البحيرة" | ||
| Alexandria Journal of Agricultural Sciences | ||
| Article 1, Volume 69, Issue 4, December 2024, Pages 397-419 PDF (6.02 M) | ||
| Document Type: Original Article | ||
| DOI: 10.21608/alexja.2024.324000.1095 | ||
| Authors | ||
| Ramadan Ahmed Mohamed Hassn* ; Abdelgaid Hamdy Fadl Allh Abdelkawy | ||
| Agricultural Economics Research Institute, Agricultural Research Center - Egypt | ||
| Abstract | ||
| The results of the research showed that there was an increase in the potato crop area at the level of Egypt and Beheira Governorate during the period 2003–2022, amounting to about 16.9 and 1.91 thousand feddan, with an annual increase rate of about 4.5% and 2.9%, respectively, which resulted in an increase in the amount of crop production during the same period. It amounted to about 236.5 and 26.41 thousand tons at an annual increase rate of 5.5% and 3.6%, respectively, which was reflected in the increase in the amount of exports, imports, and available potatoes for use in Egypt by 5.4%, 6.3%, and 5.6%, as it was estimated at about 34.5, 8.13, and 212.7 thousand tons during the study period. By studying the future situation of the area and production of the potato crop in Egypt and Beheira Governorate, it is expected that the crop area in Egypt will increase from 611 thousand feddan in 2025 to 623 thousand feddan in 2027, which will result in an increase in the amount of potato production in Egypt from 7954 thousand tons in 2025 to 8211 thousand tons in 2027. In contrast, the area of the potato crop at the Beheira level decreased from 84 thousand feddan in 2025 to about 83 thousand feddan in 2027, which will lead to a decrease in the amount of crop production in the governorate from 965 thousand tons in 2025 to 944 thousand tons in 2027. The expected increase in the area and production of potatoes in Egypt will lead to an increase in the amount of seed exports and imports from 976 and 157 thousand tons, respectively, in 2025 to about 1,101 and 172 thousand tons, respectively, in 2027. On another level, the amount available for use is expected to decrease from 7,319 thousand tons in 2025 to 7312 thousand tons in 2027 | ||
| Keywords | ||
| Potato crop; Smoothing models; Forecasting; Economic analysis of problems | ||
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