دراسة اقتصادية قياسية لاثر الانفاق الحكومى على النمو فى القطاع الزراعى | ||||
Minia Journal of Agricultural Research and Development | ||||
Volume 45, Issue 3, September 2025, Page 449-467 PDF (1.4 MB) | ||||
Document Type: Original Articles | ||||
DOI: 10.21608/mjard.2025.436238 | ||||
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Abstract | ||||
Egypt's agricultural sector is fundamental to its national economy, providing essential food and industrial inputs and significantly contributing to GDP. This research investigated the impact of various government expenditure aspects on agricultural sector growth, measured by agricultural value added, and explored the interconnectedness between spending and growth. Methodologically, the study employed descriptive statistics and econometric analysis, including the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) unit root test, the Bounds Testing Approach to Cointegration, and the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. Results indicated a positive impact of overall government expenditure, agricultural loans, and agricultural scientific research on agricultural value added. Spending on agricultural scientific research, particularly with one and two lag periods, showed a statistically significant positive effect. Conversely, agricultural investments exhibited a counter-intuitive negative impact on value added, though this finding was not statistically significant and deviated from economic theory | ||||
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