Population Growth Modeling in Southern Upper Egypt Region (1976:2017) | ||
| مجلة كلية الآداب - جامعة القاهرة | ||
| Volume 2024, Issue 1, January 2024, Pages 1-30 | ||
| DOI: 10.21608/jarts.2023.203086.1352 | ||
| Authors | ||
| Fatma Anwar; Sameh Abdel Wahab | ||
| Abstract | ||
| This research discusses the population growth modeling in the South Upper Egypt region, which includes the governorates Suhag, Qena, Luxor and Aswan. This research also aimed to create a composite index of the nature of population growth in South Upper Egypt region within period 1976: 2017. The goal is a determining the pattern and trends, which shaped population growth in this region, relying on quantitative and spatial dimensions, by using a time-space approach simultaneously. Through the process of creating a model, that expresses the nature of the growth trend with an explanation of these stages. These stages summarized a set of significant growth patterns and trends, which combined into three basic groups: 1) A group of units with strong positive change, appearing in a four-color group at the top of the model.2) A group of units with strong negative change, and appearing in a four-color group at the bottom of the model.3) A group of units with slight changes, whether positive or negative, and a quadruple color group appears in the center of the model. | ||
| Keywords | ||
| modeling; Simulation; population change; population growth rate; Southern Upper Egypt Region | ||
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