An Econometrics Analysis of Foreign Demand for Egyptian Dried Onions | ||
| The Egyptian Science Magazine | ||
| Article 7, Volume 12, Issue 1, December 2025, Pages 68-77 PDF (551.51 K) | ||
| Document Type: Original Article | ||
| DOI: 10.21608/esm.2025.452233 | ||
| Authors | ||
| Mohamed Abdelnabi* 1; Salah Mahmoud Makled* 2; Yosry Ahmed Abdeldaim* 3; Eman Abd Elghafour Ahmed* 4 | ||
| 1graduate studentof Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Ain Shams University | ||
| 22 Prof. Emeritus of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Ain Shams University | ||
| 3Emeritus Professor of Food Science, Faculty of Agriculture, Ain Shams University. | ||
| 4Prof of Agricultural Economics, National Research Center. | ||
| Abstract | ||
| The geographical distribution of Egyptian dried onion exports during the study period (2022-2024) reveals that the major importers of Egyptian dried onions are approximately 20 countries worldwide, importing approximately 92.4% of Egypt's average total exports during the same period. Germany ranks first in terms of Egyptian dried onion exports, with an average of approximately 347,967 tons, representing approximately 18.23% of Egypt's average exports during the same period, which amounted to approximately 19,086.67 tons. The Netherlands comes in second place, with Egypt's average exports to the Netherlands amounting to approximately 3,389.33 tons, representing approximately 17.76% of Egypt's average dried onion exports during the study period. The United States also ranks third in terms of its imports of Egyptian dried onions, averaging approximately 2,138.33 tons, representing approximately 11.20% of the average total Egyptian dried onion exports during the study period. To estimate external demand for Egyptian dried onions for the import market (QEX), a statistical model was developed containing the most important determinants: (Egypt's export price to the importing country, the export price of competing countries, the population of the importing country, and the average per capita income of the importing country). Stepwise regression and a correlation matrix were used to eliminate the problem of multicollinearity. Several attempts were made to identify the most important statistical models that determined the quantity of Egyptian dried onion exports to the most important importing countries (Germany, the Netherlands, the United States, Japan, Belgium, Poland, and the United Kingdom). | ||
| Keywords | ||
| Dried onions; external demand; relative importance | ||
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