The Impact of the Russia-Ukraine War on Some Egyptian Wheat Variables | ||
| The Egyptian Science Magazine | ||
| Article 8, Volume 12, Issue 1, December 2025, Pages 78-86 PDF (511.12 K) | ||
| Document Type: Original Article | ||
| DOI: 10.21608/esm.2025.452235 | ||
| Authors | ||
| Yasser Afifi* 1; Salah Mahmoud Makled* 2; Shimaa Talat Fawzy* 3 | ||
| 1graduate studentof Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Ain Shams University | ||
| 2Prof. Emeritus of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Ain Shams University | ||
| 3Assistant Professor of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Ain Shams University. | ||
| Abstract | ||
| The study revealed that wheat area reached its lowest point in 2001, at approximately 2.43 million feddans, while it reached its highest point in 2015, estimated at approximately 3.60 million feddans, with an average of approximately 3.15 million feddans over the study period. By estimating the general time trend equation for the development of wheat cultivated area, it was found that the linear model best suited the nature of the data. It was found that the area cultivated with wheat increased by a statistically significant amount, amounting to approximately 42,000 feddans annually, representing approximately 1.27% of the average. The model as a whole was also proven significant. The results also indicated that approximately 68% of the changes in wheat cultivated area are due to a set of factors whose impact is reflected over time. It also appears that the world's top wheat-supplying countries represent 20 countries, importing approximately 62% of the average total global imports during the period (2021-2023). Indonesia ranks first in terms of global wheat imports, with an average of approximately 10.604 million tons, representing approximately 5.398% of the average global wheat imports during the same period, which amounted to approximately 126.77 million tons. China comes in second place, with an average import of approximately 10.487 million tons, representing approximately 5.339% of the average total global wheat imports during the study period. Turkey also appears to rank third in terms of wheat imports, with an average of approximately 9.896 million tons, representing approximately 5.038%, while Italy comes in fourth place, with an average of approximately 7.630 million tons, representing approximately 3.885% of the average total global wheat imports. Egypt also ranks fifth in global wheat imports, averaging approximately 7.605 million tons, representing approximately 3.872% of the average total global wheat imports during the study period (2021-2023). | ||
| Keywords | ||
| Wheat; Russia-Ukraine War; Imports | ||
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