"Enhancing Policy Reliability: Risk-Informed Policymaking for Early Detection and Prevention of Failures (Application to Egypt’s Economic Reform Policies)" | ||
| مجلة البحوث الإدارية | ||
| Volume 43, Issue 3, July 2025 PDF (707.68 K) | ||
| Document Type: المقالة الأصلية | ||
| DOI: 10.21608/jso.2025.429585.1536 | ||
| Authors | ||
| Hassan Rashad Saber Elewa* 1; Mustafa Mahmoud Hamed hamed2 | ||
| 1اكاديمية السادات للعلوم الادارية كلية العلوم الادارية قسم الادارة العامة | ||
| 2اكاديمية السادات للعلوم الادارية | ||
| Abstract | ||
| Policy failures remain a persistent challenge for governments, often resulting in significant economic, political, and social costs. Traditional approaches to policy analysis have largely focused on diagnosing failures after they occur, offering limited guidance for proactive prevention. This study introduces a risk-informed policymaking framework aimed at enhancing policy reliability by integrating early detection and prevention mechanisms into the policy cycle. Drawing on Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA)—a proactive risk assessment tool widely applied in engineering and organizational management—the framework provides a structured method for identifying potential failure modes, assessing their severity, likelihood, and detectability, and prioritizing preventive actions. The framework is applied to Egypt’s economic reform policies, where critical vulnerabilities were identified, particularly in monitoring and evaluation (RPN = 432) and agenda-setting (RPN = 378). Findings underscore the importance of real-time early warning systems, inclusive social impact assessments, and transparent communication strategies to mitigate risks and strengthen policy resilience. By operationalizing risk governance principles, this study contributes to the shift from reactive crisis management to anticipatory and preventive policymaking, offering both theoretical and practical insights for governments seeking to avoid costly policy failures. | ||
| Keywords | ||
| Policy reliability; Risk-informed policymaking; Policy failure prevention; Early warning systems | ||
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