On Forecasting with Blind Data. | ||||
| MEJ- Mansoura Engineering Journal | ||||
| Article 9, Volume 25, Issue 3, September 2000, Page 28-34 PDF (87.57 K) | ||||
| Document Type: Research Studies | ||||
| DOI: 10.21608/bfemu.2021.146696 | ||||
 View on SCiNiTO | ||||
| Author | ||||
Hassan Ali Soltan 
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| Production and Mechanical Design Engineering Department.,. Faculty of Engineering., El-Mansoura University., Mansoura 35510, Egypt. | ||||
| Abstract | ||||
| The author used the term blind data to express the data which can't be directly extrapolated or managed in other ways. Such data almost exist in two forms the distorted data and multi-folded data. The first appears when the system is subjected to uncontrolled environment and the second appears when the output curve consists of folds-seem to be cycles having equal periods along the time horizon such as the electricity demand. This paper investigates, by using simulation, a forecasting method developed earlier by the author for distorted data and proposed another fore casting method can be applied for hourly and half-hourly forecasting of electricity demand. An existing demand curve is used to explain the logic of the latter method, which in turn can be extended to the cases that have a behavior similar to the electricity demand. | ||||
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