The Effects of Forced Outages Rates and Load Uncertainty on the Generation Reliability Evaluation.
Mahmoud, G., Sallam, A., Dineley, J. (2021). The Effects of Forced Outages Rates and Load Uncertainty on the Generation Reliability Evaluation.. EKB Journal Management System, 7(2), 83-94. doi: 10.21608/bfemu.2021.184673
G. A. Mahmoud; A. A. Sallam; J. Dineley. "The Effects of Forced Outages Rates and Load Uncertainty on the Generation Reliability Evaluation.". EKB Journal Management System, 7, 2, 2021, 83-94. doi: 10.21608/bfemu.2021.184673
Mahmoud, G., Sallam, A., Dineley, J. (2021). 'The Effects of Forced Outages Rates and Load Uncertainty on the Generation Reliability Evaluation.', EKB Journal Management System, 7(2), pp. 83-94. doi: 10.21608/bfemu.2021.184673
Mahmoud, G., Sallam, A., Dineley, J. The Effects of Forced Outages Rates and Load Uncertainty on the Generation Reliability Evaluation.. EKB Journal Management System, 2021; 7(2): 83-94. doi: 10.21608/bfemu.2021.184673

The Effects of Forced Outages Rates and Load Uncertainty on the Generation Reliability Evaluation.

MEJ- Mansoura Engineering Journal
Article 9, Volume 7, Issue 2, December 1982, Page 83-94  XML PDF (1.27 MB)
Document Type: Research Studies
DOI: 10.21608/bfemu.2021.184673
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Authors
G. A. Mahmoud* 1; A. A. Sallam2; J. Dineley3
1Electrical Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Suez-Canal University, Port-Said, Egypt.
2Electrical Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Suez-Canal University, Port-Said.
3Electrical Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, University of Newcastle, Newcastle Upon Tyne, U.K.
Abstract
In analysis of generation reliability assessment in power systems, the effect of both forced outages, and uncertainties in load forecasting must be taken into consideration. In this paper, the analysis has been evolved from loss-of-load and loss-of-energy probability techniques.
The student-t-distribution method is used to calculate the uncertainty of the forecast peak demand at specified intervals of confidence. The effects of the numbers and the forced outage rates of the generating units have been studied.
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