Sensitivity of System Reliability Indices to Forecasted Load Uncertainty. | ||||
| MEJ- Mansoura Engineering Journal | ||||
| Article 39, Volume 4, Issue 2, December 1979, Page 61-70 PDF (528.97 K) | ||||
| Document Type: Research Studies | ||||
| DOI: 10.21608/bfemu.2021.187370 | ||||
 View on SCiNiTO | ||||
| Author | ||||
Mohamed Abd El-Moniem Mohamed Tantawy 
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| Associate Professor, Electrical Power & Machines Department, Faculty of Engineering, Mansoura University, Mansoura, Egypt. | ||||
| Abstract | ||||
| The paper presents a comprehensive analysis for the affect of forecasted peak load uncertainty on power system reliability . The uncertainty is described by a normal distribution and the forecasted load is represented by its mean and standard deviation . Equations for the loss of load expectation and variance in terms of peak load uncertainty are given. These equations are distinguished by simplicity and low computer time required for computations. Senstivity analysis for the reliability indices due to finite changes in system loading is introduced. | ||||
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