مقارنة بين أسلوب بيز و کرنل لتقدير الانحدار اللامعلمي بالطاقة الکهربائية في العراق

عوض عوض طاقية, البيومي; محمد رجب المنجي, هشام; أحمد صالح جاسم, عادل

doi:10.21608/alat.2016.215509

	مقارنة بين أسلوب بيز و کرنل لتقدير الانحدار اللامعلمي بالطاقة الکهربائية في العراق "دراسة تطبيقية"
المجلة المصرية للدراسات التجارية
Article 12, Volume 40, Issue 1, January 2016, Page 457-475 PDF (744.6 K)
Document Type: المقالة الأصلية
DOI: 10.21608/alat.2016.215509
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Authors
البيومي عوض عوض طاقية; هشام محمد رجب المنجي; عادل أحمد صالح جاسم
کلية التجارة - جامعة المنصورة
Abstract
The objective of this research is to select of a statistical model which gives the best and most accurate monthly production and consumption of electric power in Iraq for the period from January 2007 estimates to December 2013 in the domestic sector through comparison between Bayes and kernel method to estimate Allamwalima decline. The importance of this research return to the importance of electrical energy and the attention of State and Government in this vital energy to the mind of the main sources of energy upon which the various aspects of life. The according to the data used to show that the best models were estimated using the bayes model, and that the most important variables that significantly affect the amount consumed in the domestic sector are the number of subscribers and the relative humidity, in the industry sector is the number of subscribers only.


References
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مقارنة بين أسلوب بيز و کرنل لتقدير الانحدار اللامعلمي بالطاقة الکهربائية في العراق "دراسة تطبيقية"