Analysis and Forecasting Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) In Egypt Until Year 2000 | ||||
المجلة المصرية للسکان وتنظيم الأسرة | ||||
Volume 25, Issue 2, December 1991, Page 32-46 | ||||
Document Type: المقالة الأصلية | ||||
DOI: 10.21608/mskas.1991.303600 | ||||
View on SCiNiTO | ||||
Abstract | ||||
TInfant Mortality Rate (IMR) is one of the most sensitive indicators to the level of socioeconomic development in the human society. Here, a class of autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models is used to analyze a time series of infant mortality rate. ARIMA (1,1,0) model is suggested and is proven to be more adequate especially with the natural logarithmic transformation of the original time series. Predicted values for infant mortality rate in Egypt for the time period 1983 - 2000 are derived. | ||||
Keywords | ||||
Infant Mortality Rate; ARIMA Models; Time Series; Egypt | ||||
Statistics Article View: 25 |
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