Cohort Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (CARIMA) Model As Applied To Egypt Cohort Fertility Rates
(2001). Cohort Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (CARIMA) Model As Applied To Egypt Cohort Fertility Rates. EKB Journal Management System, 45(2), 232-253. doi: 10.21608/esju.2001.313817
. "Cohort Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (CARIMA) Model As Applied To Egypt Cohort Fertility Rates". EKB Journal Management System, 45, 2, 2001, 232-253. doi: 10.21608/esju.2001.313817
(2001). 'Cohort Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (CARIMA) Model As Applied To Egypt Cohort Fertility Rates', EKB Journal Management System, 45(2), pp. 232-253. doi: 10.21608/esju.2001.313817
Cohort Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (CARIMA) Model As Applied To Egypt Cohort Fertility Rates. EKB Journal Management System, 2001; 45(2): 232-253. doi: 10.21608/esju.2001.313817

Cohort Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (CARIMA) Model As Applied To Egypt Cohort Fertility Rates

The Egyptian Statistical Journal
Article 9, Volume 45, Issue 2, December 2001, Page 232-253  XML
Document Type: Original Article
DOI: 10.21608/esju.2001.313817
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Abstract
Age and Cohort are two kinds of effects in many forms of population behavior, hence data on recent cohorts are always incomplete. A univariate time series ARIMA model is performed well in projecting age or duration specific data of recent cohorts (Barbara et al., 1996). The model is also capable of taking period effects into account (Box et al., 1994). So in this paper the model is applied to Egypt marital fertility rates for the marriage cohorts 1962-1990.
 
Keywords
Fertility; Cohort - Demographic Projection - Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Models Prediction - Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average for Cohort Data (CARIMA) - Period Effects
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