Time Series Analysis for Forecasting Mortality and Fertility in Egypt till 2020 Using Intervention Models
Hussein, M. (2005). Time Series Analysis for Forecasting Mortality and Fertility in Egypt till 2020 Using Intervention Models. EKB Journal Management System, 38(2), 1-21. doi: 10.21608/mskas.2005.361934
Mounira Hussein. "Time Series Analysis for Forecasting Mortality and Fertility in Egypt till 2020 Using Intervention Models". EKB Journal Management System, 38, 2, 2005, 1-21. doi: 10.21608/mskas.2005.361934
Hussein, M. (2005). 'Time Series Analysis for Forecasting Mortality and Fertility in Egypt till 2020 Using Intervention Models', EKB Journal Management System, 38(2), pp. 1-21. doi: 10.21608/mskas.2005.361934
Hussein, M. Time Series Analysis for Forecasting Mortality and Fertility in Egypt till 2020 Using Intervention Models. EKB Journal Management System, 2005; 38(2): 1-21. doi: 10.21608/mskas.2005.361934

Time Series Analysis for Forecasting Mortality and Fertility in Egypt till 2020 Using Intervention Models

المجلة المصرية للسکان وتنظيم الأسرة
Volume 38, Issue 2, December 2005, Page 1-21  XML PDF (725.57 K)
Document Type: المقالة الأصلية
DOI: 10.21608/mskas.2005.361934
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Author
Mounira Hussein*
College of commerce,- Menoufia University
Abstract
The Egyptian population is making a noticeable Progress concerning fertility and mortality. This Progress started as early as the Second World War. In this study, some fertility and mortality indicators were selected. Using time series analysis, two types of models considered in the analysis. The univariate and the intervention models are considered. The best model for each indicator was estimated and checked. These models were used to get predictions till 2020. The steps as well as the method for selecting the best model are presented. The predicted values for the fertility and mortality measures are given.
Keywords
Fertility; Mortality; Time series analysis; Egypt
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