An economic study of the determinants of poultry meat production and consumption | ||
| Journal of Agricultural Sciences Innovation | ||
| Article 1, Volume 1, Issue 1, December 2024, Pages 1-15 PDF (1.3 M) | ||
| Document Type: Scientific Research | ||
| DOI: 10.21608/jasai.2025.333419.1002 | ||
| Authors | ||
| Khaled Abdel Salem Ahmed* 1; Nahed Mohammad Hegazy2 | ||
| 1Agricultural Economics Research Institute- Agricultural Research Center – Egypt | ||
| 2Regional Center for Food and Feed Agricultural Research Center – Egypt | ||
| Abstract | ||
| The Egyptian poultry industry, despite state efforts to boost animal protein self-sufficiency through affordable poultry meat, faces various production and marketing challenges. This research explores the factors influencing poultry meat production and consumption to assess the potential for meeting consumer protein needs. Findings show that during 2010–2022, Egypt's average poultry meat production was 1.2 million tons, with consumption at 1.5 million tons, resulting in a self-sufficiency rate of 97%. A double logarithmic model best represented the relationship between production and influential factors, revealing that broiler chicken numbers, imported yellow corn prices, and imported meal quantities were key determinants. Production was positively associated with broiler numbers and meal imports (0.63% and 0.08%, respectively), while an inverse relationship was found with corn prices, impacting production by 11%. On the consumption side, primary influences included the local chicken meat price, national income per capita, and average per capita consumption. Consumption showed a positive correlation with national income and per capita consumption (0.39% and 1.03%, respectively), but an inverse correlation with poultry meat prices, impacting by 0.40%. This analysis underscores the importance of controlling feed prices and supporting income growth to stabilize production and meet consumer demand. | ||
| Keywords | ||
| Broiler farms; Fattening farm; Poultry meat; Production; consumption determinants | ||
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