A New Proposed Model for Covid-19 | ||||
| المجلة العلمية للدراسات والبحوث المالية والتجارية | ||||
| Volume 6, Issue 2 - Serial Number 1, July 2025, Page 115-134 PDF (1.41 MB) | ||||
| Document Type: المقالة الأصلية | ||||
| DOI: 10.21608/cfdj.2025.363663.2189 | ||||
 View on SCiNiTO | ||||
| Authors | ||||
Elham Salah Soliman  1; Mervat Mahdy Ramadan  2; Mohamed Goda Khalil 3
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| 1كلية التجارة جامعة بنها | ||||
| 2قسم الاحصاء والرياضة والتأمين- کلية التجارة - جامعة بنها | ||||
| 3قسم الإحصاء والرياضة والتأمين، كلية التجارة، جامعة بنها | ||||
| Abstract | ||||
| During the broadcast of COVID-19 (Coronavirus) across the world, many mathematicians made several mathematical models, to understand the forecast and behavior of this epidemic’s spread accurately. Nevertheless, due to the lack of much information about it, the application of many models has become difficult and sometimes impossible, unlike the simple SIR model. In this study we proposed a new SIRD model for COVID-19. SIRD model is fitted to real data of COVID-19 patients in Egypt using R program, the sample consists of all patients in the susceptible state, infectious state, removed state, and the death state. The purpose of this study is to give a prediction of the epidemic peak and sizes in our country. The results of this study are an indicator for the widespread of COVID-19 in Egypt. | ||||
| Keywords | ||||
| COVID-19 pandemic; SIR model; SIRD model | ||||
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