تسعير أخطار نقل البضائع بالسکک الحديدية باستخدام النماذج الاحتمالية المرکبة | ||||
| المجلة المصرية للدراسات التجارية | ||||
| Article 4, Volume 42, Issue 3, July 2018, Page 175-205 PDF (717.96 K) | ||||
| Document Type: المقالة الأصلية | ||||
| DOI: 10.21608/alat.2018.207399 | ||||
 View on SCiNiTO | ||||
| Authors | ||||
| محمد توفيق البلقيني; جمال عبد الباقي واصف; محمد عبده البرقاوي | ||||
| جامعة المنصورة | ||||
| Abstract | ||||
| Abstract The compound probability distributions that used to estimate aggregate claims are one of the basic tools used by actuaries to estimating the insurance price, and the process of fitting probability distribution adjustment actual data is a problem due to the nature of the claims data which is heavy tailed on the right. On the other hand, the railways is one of the most reliable means of transportation it providing passenger and cargo transport services for the purposes of economic development. The railways can transport large quantities of goods at a low cost. This study deals with an analysis of the risks of transported goods and attempts to build a quantitative model to be used in the pricing of compound risks , and attempt to price compound risk with adequate and fair price | ||||
| References | ||||
|
[6] https://www.arabfinance.com/2015/pages/news/newsdetails.aspx?Id=36 1093&lang=ar. [7] Cummins, J. David, (1991)," Statistical and Financial Models of Insurance Pricing and the Insurance Firm", Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol. LVIII, No.2, pp. 274-280. ]8 ]يحبضراد انقبهب األستبر انذکتىر يحًذ تىفٍق انجهقٍنً نطهجخ تأهٍهً دکتىراه، سنخ 2116. [9] Cummins, J. David, (1991)," Statistical and Financial Models of Insurance Pricing and the Insurance Firm", Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol. LVIII, No.2, pp. 261-264. [10] Hon-Shiang Lau, "An Effective Approach for Estimating the Aggregate Loss of an Insurance Portfolio", The Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol. 51, No. 1, 1984, pp19-32. [11] Michel Denuit et. al. "Actuarial Modeling of Claim Counts", John Wiley & sons ,Ltd , 2007 , pp-28-34. [12]Bachioua Lahcene, " On Pearson Families of Distributions and its applications", African Journal of Mathematics ,vol.6, 2013 , pp. 108-112. [13] Adil Rashid, "Compound Probability Distributions and their applications", Faculty of Physical & Material Sciences, 2013.pp:13-16. [14] Evelien Brisard," Pricing of Car Insurance with Generalized Linear Models", master thesis, Vrije Universiteit Brussel,2014, pp:12-13. | ||||
|
Statistics Article View: 76 PDF Download: 91 |
||||
